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French election polling [FT, Telegraph, Globe and Mail]

April 10, 2017


First-Round voting intentions, Polling data as of Apr. 5-7:

Macron 23-24%, Le Pen 23-24%, Melenchon 18-19%, Fillon 17-19% — with leftist Melenchon seeing a boost vs prior week.

Also a record number of French voters are expected to abstain.

UPDATE: another article, looking at how voters of various candidates may react in the second round if their first choice is eliminated. A rarely-discussed possibility, a Melenchon vs Macron runoff, which may happen if Le Pen is knocked out early, would be interesting.

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